{"id":11257,"date":"2020-05-24T22:56:54","date_gmt":"2020-05-24T21:56:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blgnoticiassantodomingo.net\/?p=11257"},"modified":"2020-05-24T22:56:55","modified_gmt":"2020-05-24T21:56:55","slug":"para-que-entiendan-el-metodo-de-hondt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blgnoticiassantodomingo.net\/index.php\/2020\/05\/24\/para-que-entiendan-el-metodo-de-hondt\/","title":{"rendered":"Para que entiendan el M\u00e9todo de H\u2019ondt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
Por Jorge Lendeborg
1er. Parte<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El objetivo del siguiente estudio es para edificar a los lectores y aclarar el panorama sobre las posibilidades de cada partido en obtener varios esca\u00f1os en la c\u00e1mara baja tomando en cuenta la aplicaci\u00f3n del \u201cm\u00e9todo de H\u2019ondt\u201d. Cada d\u00eda me sorprendo m\u00e1s al ver que a solo d\u00edas de celebrarse las elecciones, polit\u00f3logos, dirigentes l\u00edderes y candidatos no sepan c\u00f3mo funciona dicha ley.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En esta primera parte analizaremos la Circunscripci\u00f3n #1 de SDE donde en las pr\u00f3ximas elecciones se disputan 6 diputaciones entre 3 coaliciones de partidos, el PRD independiente y varios partidos minoritarios, aunque solo el PLD, PRM, FP, PRD tienen posibilidades reales de obtener un esca\u00f1o. A estos lo llamaremos PARTIDO A, B, C, D.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
El m\u00e9todo de D\u2019Hondt es un modelo matem\u00e1tico para asignaci\u00f3n de esca\u00f1os, que permite obtener el n\u00famero de cargos electos asignados a las candidaturas, en proporci\u00f3n a los votos obtenidos. El sistema divide los votos en 1,2,3,4,5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Para poder edificar mejor haremos 4 tablas con 4 posibles escenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Escenario 1<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Partidos<\/td>
% votos<\/td>
Repartici\u00f3n H\u2019ondt<\/td><\/tr>
Partido A<\/td>
44%<\/td>
1er Diputado. Se divide en 2 (22%)<\/td>
3er Diputado. Se divide en 3 (7.3%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido B<\/td>
35%<\/td>
2do Diputado. Se divide en 2 (17.2%)<\/td>
4to Diputado. Se divide en 3 (5.3%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido C<\/td>
16%<\/td>
5to Diputado. Se divide en 2 (8%)<\/td>
6to Diputado.<\/td><\/tr>
Partido D<\/td>
5%<\/td>
Sin Diputado<\/td>
<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Escenario 2<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Partidos<\/td>
% votos<\/td>
Repartici\u00f3n H\u2019ondt<\/td><\/tr>
Partido A<\/td>
40%<\/td>
1er Diputado. Se divide en 2 (20%)<\/td>
4to Diputado. Se divide en 3 (6.6%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido B<\/td>
30%<\/td>
2do Diputado. Se divide en 2 (15%)<\/td>
5to Diputado. Se divide en 3 (5%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido C<\/td>
25%<\/td>
3er Diputado. Se divide en 2 (12.5%)<\/td>
6to Diputado.<\/td><\/tr>
Partido D<\/td>
5%<\/td>
Sin Diputado<\/td>
<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Escenario 3<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Partidos<\/td>
% votos<\/td>
Repartici\u00f3n H\u2019ondt<\/td><\/tr>
Partido A<\/td>
42%<\/td>
1er Diputado. Se divide en 2 (21%)<\/td>
4to. Diputado. Se divide en 3 (7.3%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido B<\/td>
30%<\/td>
2do Diputado. Se divide en 2 (15%)<\/td>
5to Diputado. Se divide en 3 (5.%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido C<\/td>
22%<\/td>
3ro Diputado. Se divide en 2 (11%)<\/td>
6to Diputado.<\/td><\/tr>
Partido D<\/td>
6%<\/td>
Sin Diputado<\/td>
<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Escenario 4<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Partidos<\/td>
% votos<\/td>
Repartici\u00f3n H\u2019ondt<\/td><\/tr>
Partido A<\/td>
38%<\/td>
1er Diputado. Se divide en 2 (19%)<\/td>
4to Diputado. Se divide en 3 (6.3%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido B<\/td>
32%<\/td>
2do Diputado. Se divide en 2 (16%)<\/td>
5to Diputado. Se divide en 3 (5.3%)<\/td><\/tr>
Partido C<\/td>
22%<\/td>
3er Diputado. Se divide en 2 (11%)<\/td>
<\/td><\/tr>
Partido D<\/td>
8%<\/td>
6to Diputado<\/td>
<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Cada lector podr\u00e1 colocarle las siglas del partido que considere seg\u00fan su preferencia, lo que si debe quedar claro es que matem\u00e1ticamente es imposible que ninguno de los partidos obtenga m\u00e1s de 2 esca\u00f1os en la circunscripci\u00f3n 1 de SDE. Para lograr esto, cualquier partido tendr\u00eda que obtener el 50% de los votos, el cual no es posible en las pr\u00f3ximas elecciones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ante esta realidad solo existen dos posibles escenarios: PLD (2), PRM (2), FP (2), o PLD (2), PRM (2), FP (1), PRD (1).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Por Jorge Lendeborg 1er. Parte El objetivo del siguiente estudio es para edificar a los lectores y aclarar el panorama sobre las posibilidades de cada partido en obtener varios esca\u00f1os en la c\u00e1mara baja tomando en cuenta la aplicaci\u00f3n del \u201cm\u00e9todo de H\u2019ondt\u201d. Cada d\u00eda me sorprendo m\u00e1s al ver que a solo d\u00edas de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[226],"tags":[1463,1346,1993],"class_list":{"0":"post-11257","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politica","8":"tag-elecciones-presidenciales","9":"tag-jorge-lendeborg","10":"tag-metodo-de-hondt"},"yoast_head":"\n
Para que entiendan el M\u00e9todo de H\u2019ondt - BLG Noticias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blgnoticiassantodomingo.net\/index.php\/2020\/05\/24\/para-que-entiendan-el-metodo-de-hondt\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Para que entiendan el M\u00e9todo de H\u2019ondt - BLG Noticias\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Por Jorge Lendeborg 1er. Parte El objetivo del siguiente estudio es para edificar a los lectores y aclarar el panorama sobre las posibilidades de cada partido en obtener varios esca\u00f1os en la c\u00e1mara baja tomando en cuenta la aplicaci\u00f3n del \u201cm\u00e9todo de H\u2019ondt\u201d. 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